Musing about flood inspectors

Malcolm touches upon one of my favourite subjects, the nanny state, its attempts to de-risk society, and the totally inane consequences of such actions.

He makes a key point: when risks go down (say as a result of structural change), the mechanisms we use to measure risk often stay in place, despite the total pool of risk shrinking. We start getting disproportionate views of any incremental risk as a result.

Maybe there’s a link to the root causes of Michael Power’s Risk Management of Everything. When people run out of first-order risks, they start focusing on second-order risks, and soon we land up in that awful place where risk management is a zero-unemployment industry.

Risk management, like flood inspection, works best when there is a risk to manage.

Another brick out of the wall? Not quite, maybe half a brick

After the New York Times announcement recently, one could be forgiven for assuming that paywalls are finally beginning to come down. The FT announced today that they’ve changed the model for access to FT.com. It would appear that the first five articles are free to all; a further twenty-five, or thirty in all, are to be made available every month free of charge, but only to “light-touch” registrants. Beyond the 30, people will need to subscribe.

My initial reaction? Bemused, maybe even confused. How would someone police the first five articles being free to all? I assume free to all means no registration. Sure, you could store IP addresses and grant each address up to five articles per month without registration, but what a nightmare. What a palaver. For no value. So I must be wrong. Some sort of registration must be in place for the 5 free. In which case I don’t understand the difference between the first five free and the next 25 free, unless there’s a second stage of registration. Whatever it is, there would need to be some form of reset every month-end as well. It all seems so pointless.

Content is not king. The customer is. Scarcity is not king. Abundance is.

Paywalls will come down. More later.

Doing yourself an injury

Apparently this video has been around for a while, but I’d never seen it. It’s about six minutes long and otherwise completely work-safe. But do be careful how you are seated while watching it, I nearly ruptured myself early this morning.

Thanks to Brittany for pointing it out to me, just what I needed to start a grey Monday morning. God’s in His Heaven and all’s well with the world.

As usual, available on my sidebar via Vodpod as well, for your convenience. Why for your convenience? Well, you don’t have to remember which post you read it in, all videos that I refer to can be found via the VodPod.

Just pick one: Musing about toothpaste in Calcutta and its effect on enterprise information

For the first twenty-three years of my life, I’d never known a home other than Calcutta. I’d visited other cities, sure, but never actually lived anywhere else. And I’d never left the country.

So when I came to the UK nearly twenty-seven years ago, I came unprepared for many things; there were many situations and environments where I felt out of place and needed to adjust myself. The culture shock I experienced wasn’t big and immediate and in-your-face, it felt more like a disjointed series of very small events over a long time. Maybe I’ll write about them one day.

But in the meantime, here’s a for-example. One place I felt distinctly uncomfortable was the supermarket. I could not conceive of a whole aisle containing things to do with something like dental care. When I was young, buying toothpaste was simple. You walked to the local shop and asked for toothpaste, and the shopkeeper gave you toothpaste, usually Colgate, maybe Macleans. [You could also have asked for vajradanti twigs, or “sweet” tooth powder, usually Colgate, or “salty” tooth powder, usually Monkey Brand. The last named was truly something else, seemed to be a mixture of salt and charcoal and sand….]

That was it for most of my life in Calcutta. Maybe towards the end, with Signal entering the fray, it was possible to ask for toothpaste with go-faster stripes; every child my age probably remembers taking apart a tube surreptitiously in order to see how the stripes worked. Binaca was probably around from the start, just never got popular in my household; see the power of product placement in those days? He who had the distribution took the market. And I’d nearly left before “swadeshi” hybrid approaches like Vicco Vajradanti came along, merging the herbs of the east with the packaged tube delivery of the west. [My thanks to Maddy for reminding me of the little charms that came with the toothpaste, that took me back a while].

For most of my life, therefore, I’d just been asking for toothpaste, almost never mentioning a brand or any sort of feature or function. So when I walked into a supermarket I felt way way out of my comfort zone. So much so that at least once I went home with denture polish….

At first I didn’t realise that the discomfort was anything to do with too much choice. Or that I could even have too much choice. Freedom’s just another word for nothing left to choose. I was fascinated by the theme from an early stage, and then something else happened. I had the privilege of being able to read James Montier regularly while we were both at Dresdner. Incidentally, as Sean (also there at the same time) reminded me, James now has a blog. And, for those who are interested, his latest book started shipping this weekend, I hope to have my copy tomorrow.

Incidentally, a few years ago, Barry Schwartz wrote a book on The Paradox of Choice which gives you an easily comprehensible introduction to the subject.

What does any or all of this have to do with enterprises and information? It’s simple, really. Have a look at what happened when I wondered about something yesterday. In a post headlined None of The Above, I asked two questions. One was this: How many people would be able to give a one-song answer when asked “What is your favourite song of all time”? And the second was this: “What’s yours?”

In effect I was asking two related questions. The first was to do with our ability to respond with a single answer in a given context, and the second was the answer itself.

I’ve had a few comments back now, and they are revealing, they help underscore what I was thinking. Ali Choudhury actually came back with an answer to both questions by answering the second one with just one song. Now all I have to do is listen to it, I must confess I’d not really heard much of Stan Bush. Hazel just about kept to the rules, choosing one under duress as it were wanting to choose more. Stephen, after telling me “in all fairness, I think on a longer time-scale than you do”, and after pointing out a whole series of other things, also came up with a one-song answer. Andrew, Benoit and Ric all felt the tension of having to choose just one, and in fact Benoit, unusually, nearly agreed with my choice. Unusual for me, not him. And later, Davezilla also kept to the rules, offering precisely one, and thereby giving me something else to try out. I’d not really heard much of the Virgin Prunes before.
Where the enterprise meets information, we have four very powerful things happening:

Complexity increases as a result, particularly as we see more and more people and devices getting connected. There is therefore a natural instinct coming into play, a wish to go “rule of one”. To simplify, to make the chessboard a little less crowded. To exchange queens.

And we’re finding this hard to do. We find all kinds of strange arguments as to why we can’t just pick one. And after a while, I’m beginning to think that the problem is a lot less to do with what we pick. And a lot more to do with our inability to pick something in the first place.

This is a theme I will be expanding in days to come, once I’ve finished the Facebook series (now on Part 9), the Wikipedia series (now on Part 2) and the Opensource series (as yet unpublished). In the meantime, comments welcome as usual.

None of the above

Over dinner at Rasoi a few nights ago, the conversation meandered all over the place, and at one point touched upon the kind of music people listened to. Someone was trying to describe Rick Wakeman’s Six Wives to someone else, and one thing led to another and I found myself extolling the virtues of Steve Howe playing Mood for A Day. Probably my favourite guitar instrumental.

And it got me thinking. How many people would be able to give a one-song answer when asked “What is your favourite song of all time”?

If I had to choose, Mood For a Day would be up there. As would Season of the Witch on Super Session. As would Take Five. And Peter, Paul and Mary doing Rocky Road.

Can’t Find My Way Home when done by Blind Faith would be there or thereabouts. But in the end, I would have only one answer, and it wouldn’t be any of the above.

If I was forced to live the rest of my life with just one song to keep me company, it would be Suite: Judy Blue Eyes. Magnificent.

So far I have met only one other person who may choose the same song as his all-time Number One, and that’s Hugh.

What’s yours?